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Infectious Disease Orthopaedics & Trauma Paediatrics Strong — Kocher 1999 / Caird 2006

Kocher Criteria for Septic Arthritis

Predicts probability of septic arthritis vs transient synovitis in children with acute hip pain. Validated by Caird et al. with CRP enhancement.

Caird's probabilities assume CRP was measured; without CRP use the 4-predictor Kocher criteria.

Score interpretation

16.9% Predicted Probability (0 of 5 predictors) 0

Caird 2006 (Kocher criteria with CRP): probability of septic arthritis in children selected for hip aspiration; it is lower in unselected children. If CRP was not measured, use the 4-predictor Kocher criteria.

→ Clinical judgement: hip ultrasound and senior / orthopaedic review if concern persists; safety-net advice.

36.7% Predicted Probability (1 of 5 predictors) 1

Caird 2006 (Kocher criteria with CRP): probability of septic arthritis in children selected for hip aspiration; it is lower in unselected children. If CRP was not measured, use the 4-predictor Kocher criteria.

→ Clinical judgement: hip ultrasound and senior / orthopaedic review if concern persists; safety-net advice.

62.4% Predicted Probability (2 of 5 predictors) 2

Caird 2006 (Kocher criteria with CRP): probability of septic arthritis in children selected for hip aspiration; it is lower in unselected children. If CRP was not measured, use the 4-predictor Kocher criteria.

→ Urgent orthopaedic review: hip ultrasound and aspiration; blood cultures before antibiotics; antibiotics per local paediatric guideline.

82.6% Predicted Probability (3 of 5 predictors) 3

Caird 2006 (Kocher criteria with CRP): probability of septic arthritis in children selected for hip aspiration; it is lower in unselected children. If CRP was not measured, use the 4-predictor Kocher criteria.

→ Emergency orthopaedic review for aspiration and washout; blood cultures before antibiotics; antibiotics per local paediatric guideline.

93% Predicted Probability (4 of 5 predictors) 4

Caird 2006 (Kocher criteria with CRP): probability of septic arthritis in children selected for hip aspiration; it is lower in unselected children. If CRP was not measured, use the 4-predictor Kocher criteria.

→ Emergency orthopaedic review for aspiration and washout; blood cultures before antibiotics; antibiotics per local paediatric guideline.

97.5% Predicted Probability (5 of 5 predictors) 5

Caird 2006 (Kocher criteria with CRP): probability of septic arthritis in children selected for hip aspiration; it is lower in unselected children. If CRP was not measured, use the 4-predictor Kocher criteria.

→ Emergency orthopaedic review for aspiration and washout; blood cultures before antibiotics; antibiotics per local paediatric guideline.

Interpretation bands for the Kocher Criteria. Apply clinical judgement and local guidance.

References

Related

Curated clinical cross-links plus same-class fallbacks.

Decision support only — verify against a current formulary, NICE, or your local guideline before clinical use.