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Haematology Oncology

20/2/20 Risk Score for Smouldering Myeloma

Predicts 2-year progression risk from smouldering (asymptomatic) myeloma to symptomatic multiple myeloma using the 20/2/20 model.

Free Light Chain ratio — κ/λ or λ/κ whichever is abnormal

Score interpretation

Low Risk — Watch and Wait 0

Score 0: ~5.6% 2-year progression risk to symptomatic myeloma.

→ Watch and wait. Monitor every 6 months (blood counts, protein electrophoresis, renal function).

Intermediate Risk 1

Score 1: ~17.9% 2-year progression risk.

→ Closer monitoring (every 3–4 months). Consider clinical trial enrolment. Bone survey/PET-CT.

High Risk — Consider Early Treatment 2–3

Score 2–3: ~43.7% 2-year progression risk.

→ High risk. Discuss early treatment (daratumumab-based) or clinical trial. Monitor every 3 months. Bone MRI.

Interpretation bands for the Smouldering Myeloma 20/2/20. Apply clinical judgement and local guidance.

References

Related

Curated clinical cross-links plus same-class fallbacks.

Decision support only — verify against a current formulary, NICE, or your local guideline before clinical use.