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neurology emergency-medicine

Epilepsy Risk after First Seizure (MESS Score)

MESS prognostic index (Kim 2006, from the MRC Multicentre trial for Early Epilepsy and Single Seizures). Predicts seizure recurrence after a single seizure or early epilepsy and the benefit of immediate antiepileptic treatment.

Used in: Seizures & Epilepsy

Score interpretation

Low Recurrence Risk 0

Single seizure, no neurological disorder, normal EEG. Kim 2006: little benefit from immediate treatment in this group.

→ DVLA: do not drive for 6 months (first seizure); no immediate AED; follow-up neurology within 2 weeks; EEG and MRI brain; safety advice (swimming, heights)

Medium Recurrence Risk 1

2–3 seizures, or a neurological disorder, or an abnormal EEG. Kim 2006: potentially worthwhile benefit from immediate treatment.

→ Discuss AED benefits vs risks with the patient; treat if the patient feels the risk is unacceptable. Common choices: levetiracetam, lamotrigine. Valproate must not be started in anyone under 55 unless two specialists agree there is no alternative (MHRA 2024). DVLA guidance.

High Recurrence Risk 2–4

Two of these features, or ≥ 4 seizures. Kim 2006: potentially worthwhile benefit from immediate treatment.

→ AED initiation recommended; personalise choice by epilepsy type and comorbidities (valproate only within the MHRA 2024 restrictions); DVLA: 12 months no driving if 2+ seizures; neurology urgently

Interpretation bands for the First Seizure Risk. Apply clinical judgement and local guidance.

References

Related

Curated clinical cross-links plus same-class fallbacks.

Decision support only — verify against a current formulary, NICE, or your local guideline before clinical use.