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Neurology Emergency Medicine Strong — NICE CG137 / Berg 1991

First Unprovoked Seizure — Recurrence Risk

Estimates recurrence risk after a first unprovoked seizure to guide antiepileptic drug (AED) initiation discussion.

Used in: Seizures & Epilepsy

Score interpretation

Low Recurrence Risk (~20–30%) 0–1

Low risk of seizure recurrence after first unprovoked seizure.

→ DVLA: must not drive for 6 months after single seizure (notify DVLA). Discuss AED: not routinely recommended after first seizure in low-risk patients. Patient education. Safety advice: swimming, heights, baths (use showers). Epilepsy specialist review within 2 weeks (NICE QS27). Trigger review.

Moderate Recurrence Risk (~40–60%) 2–3

Moderate recurrence risk. Consider AED after shared decision-making.

→ Discuss risks/benefits of AED therapy. EEG + MRI brain if not done. AED initiation may reduce early recurrence but does not alter long-term prognosis. DVLA seizure driving rules apply. Neurology review within 2 weeks (NICE). Avoid seizure triggers.

High Recurrence Risk (> 60%) — AED Indicated 4–99

High recurrence risk. AED treatment generally recommended.

→ Start AED after neurologist review: first-line depends on seizure type — sodium valproate (caution in women of childbearing age), levetiracetam, or lamotrigine for focal-onset. Counsel on valproate risks in pregnancy (MHRA alert). DVLA: no driving for 12 months after first seizure if AED started. Pregnancy planning if relevant.

Interpretation bands for the Seizure Recurrence. Apply clinical judgement and local guidance.

References

Related

Curated clinical cross-links plus same-class fallbacks.

Decision support only — verify against a current formulary, NICE, or your local guideline before clinical use.